Match Info

Date: 25 July 2021, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Tomas Machac		Joao Sousa

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Tomas Machac
71.2%

Joao Sousa
28.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

62%

38%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.2%

36.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tomas Machac has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tomas Machac's performance.

Joao Sousa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Joao Sousa might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tomas Machac than the current prediction. (-8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tomas Machac that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Joao Sousa than the current prediction. (+8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Joao Sousa could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

1	X	2
93.3%	0%	6.7%

Users Predictions: Tomas Machac will win (28 of 30 users predict this - 93.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 84.4% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Recent matches Machac is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Sousa is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Sousa could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Machac is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tomas Machac
ATP Challenger
07.07.21	Zizou Bergs - Tomas Machac	2:1 ✺
06.07.21	Kimmer Coppejans - Tomas Machac	0:2 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
24.06.21	Christopher OConnell - Tomas Machac	3:0 ✺
23.06.21	Brayden Schnur - Tomas Machac	0:2 ✺
22.06.21	Tommy Robredo - Tomas Machac	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LWLWW
- Joao Sousa
ATP Newport
13.07.21	Joao Sousa - Tennys Sandgren	0:2 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
28.06.21	Andreas Seppi - Joao Sousa	3:1 ✺
ATP Mallorca
20.06.21	Lucas Pouille - Joao Sousa	2:0 ✺
19.06.21	Matteo Viola - Joao Sousa	0:2 ✺
ATP Halle
13.06.21	Lukas Lacko - Joao Sousa	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLLWL

Tomas Machac - Joao Sousa