Match Info

Date: 1 April 2024, Monday


	Lucas Pouille		Nuno Borges

	1	2
	2.5	1.53	Watch
	2.55	1.5
	2.6	1.48
	2.69	1.51
	2.69	1.51
	2.38	1.57	Watch
	2.65	1.49	Watch
	2.5	1.51
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.57 ↑ (2.53)	1.51 ↓ (1.52)

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lucas Pouille
37%

Nuno Borges
63%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.5%

62.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.6%

62.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lucas Pouille has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Nuno Borges has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lucas Pouille than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nuno Borges than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
29.4%	0%	70.6%

Lucas Pouille - Nuno Borges Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Pouille will win (votes: 5 - 29.4%). Borges will win (votes: 12 - 70.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Borges: 48.9% – 92.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Pouille is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Borges is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Pouille could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Borges will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lucas Pouille
ATP Estoril
31.03.24	Richard Gasquet - Lucas Pouille	1:2 ✺
30.03.24	Frederico Ferreira Silva - Lucas Pouille	0:2 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
08.03.24	Lucas Pouille - Stefanos Tsitsipas	0:2 ✺
07.03.24	Lucas Pouille - Daniel Altmaier	2:0 ✺
05.03.24	Lucas Pouille - Harold Mayot	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 WWLWW
- Nuno Borges
ATP Miami
20.03.24	Thiago Seyboth Wild - Nuno Borges	2:0 ✺
20.03.24	Jordan Thompson - Nuno Borges	Canceled ✺
ATP Challenger
17.03.24	Nuno Borges - Matteo Berrettini	2:0 ✺
16.03.24	Nuno Borges - Luca Van Assche	2:1 ✺
16.03.24	Thanasi Kokkinakis - Nuno Borges	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 L?WWW

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