Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Australian Open, hard - 1/32-finals

Date: 20 January 2026, Tuesday

Location: Melbourne Park (Melbourne)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	ESPN
Belgium	HBO Max, HBO Max
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	HBO Max
Brazil	ESPN
Bulgaria	HBO Max
Canada	RDS App
Colombia	ESPN
Croatia	HBO Max
Czech-republic	HBO Max
Denmark	HBO Max
Finland	HBO Max
France	HBO Max
Hungary	HBO Max
Mexico	ESPN
Moldova	HBO Max
Montenegro	HBO Max
Netherlands	HBO Max
New-zealand	Sky Sport NOW
North-macedonia	HBO Max
Norway	HBO Max
Peru	ESPN
Poland	HBO Max
Romania	HBO Max
Serbia	HBO Max
Slovenia	HBO Max
Spain	HBO Max
Sweden	HBO Max
United-kingdom	Discovery+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN USA
Venezuela	ESPN


	Jordan Thompson		Nuno Borges

	1	2
	2.5	1.53	Watch
	2.55	1.52	Watch
	2.5	1.53	Watch
	2.5	1.53
	2.69	1.48	Watch
	2.45	1.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.53 ↓ (2.65)	1.52 ↑ (1.49)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jordan Thompson
37.6%

Nuno Borges
62.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.9%

64.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jordan Thompson has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Nuno Borges has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.8%	0%	85.2%

Jordan Thompson - Nuno Borges Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -2.5 Games - Borges (1.72) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Nuno Borges will win (23 of 27 users predict this - 85.19%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.79% – 98.59%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Nuno Borges will win (20 of 21 users predict this - 95.24%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 22 Selected Experts predict this event. Jordan Thompson (votes: 1 - 4.5%). Borges (votes: 21 - 95.5%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:3

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Preview

Jordan Thompson is ranked ATP: 111. Borges is ranked ATP: 46.

Borges's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Borges may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Borges could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Jordan Thompson won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 0:7. (average 0:1.8).

Last Results with these Odds

Nuno Borges - the odds 1.49 are the expected chance of winning is 64.09%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jordan Thompson Tennis
ATP Australian Open
18.01.26	Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Jordan Thompson	1:3 ✺
ATP Challenger
08.01.26	Jordan Thompson - Jurij Rodionov	0:2 ✺
07.01.26	Jordan Thompson - Nicolas Moreno De Alboran	2:0 ✺
06.01.26	Jordan Thompson - Emile Hudd	2:0 ✺
24.10.25	Jordan Thompson - Mats Rosenkranz	Thompson J. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 WLWW?
- Nuno Borges
ATP Australian Open
18.01.26	Nuno Borges - Felix Aliassime-Auger	Auger-Aliassime F. retired ✺
ATP Auckland
13.01.26	Nuno Borges - Eliot Spizzirri	0:2 ✺
13.01.26	Nuno Borges - Tomas Martin Etcheverry	2:1 ✺
ATP Hong Kong
09.01.26	Andrey Rublev - Nuno Borges	2:0 ✺
07.01.26	Marin Cilic - Nuno Borges	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 ?LWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Australian Open
14.01.25	Jordan Thompson - Nuno Borges	0:3
ATP Miami
20.03.24	Jordan Thompson - Nuno Borges	Canceled
ATP Challenger
14.06.22	Jordan Thompson - Nuno Borges	0:2
ATP Estoril
26.04.21	Nuno Borges - Jordan Thompson	2:0

Jordan Thompson - Nuno Borges: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide