The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Lucas Poullain 43.6%
Giovanni Fonio 56.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
51.1%
48.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
48.8%
51.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lucas Poullain has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lucas Poullain's form might have worsened.
Giovanni Fonio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Giovanni Fonio's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lucas Poullain than the current prediction. (+5.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lucas Poullain, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Giovanni Fonio than the current prediction. (-5.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Giovanni Fonio, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
50%
0%
50%
Lucas Poullain - Giovanni Fonio Predictions
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Poullain will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Fonio will win (votes: 3 - 50%).
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Preview
Poullain is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Recent matches Fonio is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Poullain could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both players are almost equal.
Last 1 head-to-head matches Poullain won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.