Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Louny, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 15 May 2026, Friday


	Lucas Poullain		Lilian Marmousez

	1	2
			Watch
			Watch
	2.65	1.49
	2.44	1.48	Watch
	2.5	1.44
	2.47	1.48	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.52 ↑ (1.83)	1.47 ↓ (1.83)

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lucas Poullain
36.9%

Lilian Marmousez
63.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.2%

54.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lucas Poullain has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lucas Poullain's form might have worsened.

Lilian Marmousez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lilian Marmousez's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lucas Poullain than the current prediction. (+8.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lucas Poullain, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lilian Marmousez than the current prediction. (-8.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lilian Marmousez, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Lucas Poullain - Lilian Marmousez Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Poullain is ranked ATP: 417. Marmousez is ranked ATP: 314.

Currently, both players are in excellent shape.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Last Results with these Odds

Lilian Marmousez - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 64% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lucas Poullain
ITF Tournaments
14.05.26	Lucas Poullain - Eric Vanshelboim	2:0 ✺
13.05.26	Lucas Poullain - Michal Krajci	2:0 ✺
03.05.26	John Echeverria - Lucas Poullain	1:2 ✺
02.05.26	Lucas Poullain - Patrick Schoen	2:1 ✺
01.05.26	Rafael Izquierdo Luque - Lucas Poullain	Izquierdo Luque R. Retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WWWW?
- Lilian Marmousez
ITF Tournaments
14.05.26	Adrian Oetzbach - Lilian Marmousez	1:2 ✺
12.05.26	Oleksii Krutykh - Lilian Marmousez	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
05.05.26	Gustavo Heide - Lilian Marmousez	2:1 ✺
04.05.26	Lilian Marmousez - Raffaele Ciurnelli	2:0 ✺
03.05.26	Lilian Marmousez - Andrea Paolini	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WWLWW

Lucas Poullain - Lilian Marmousez: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide