Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Quinta Do Lago, hard - Final

Date: 3 May 2026, Sunday


	John Echeverria		Lucas Poullain

	1	2
			Watch
	1.65	2.05
			Watch
	1.85	1.97
	1.72	1.98	Watch
	1.75	1.95
	1.73	1.97	Watch
	1.62	2.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↑ (1.64)	2.01 ↓ (2.11)

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

John Echeverria
53.9%

Lucas Poullain
46.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.3%

43.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.3%

46.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

John Echeverria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Lucas Poullain has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for John Echeverria than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lucas Poullain than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

John Echeverria - Lucas Poullain Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Echeverria is ranked ATP: 669. Poullain is ranked ATP: 418.

Echeverria is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Poullain has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Echeverria may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Echeverria won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- John Echeverria
ITF Tournaments
02.05.26	Justin Boulais - John Echeverria	1:2 ✺
01.05.26	Olle Wallin - John Echeverria	1:2 ✺
30.04.26	John Echeverria - Gastao Elias	2:0 ✺
29.04.26	John Echeverria - Guilherme Valdoleiros	2:0 ✺
18.04.26	Robin Bertrand - John Echeverria	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WWWWL
- Lucas Poullain
ITF Tournaments
02.05.26	Lucas Poullain - Patrick Schoen	2:1 ✺
01.05.26	Rafael Izquierdo Luque - Lucas Poullain	Izquierdo Luque R. Retired ✺
30.04.26	Joao Domingues - Lucas Poullain	0:2 ✺
28.04.26	Thomas John Fancutt - Lucas Poullain	0:2 ✺
23.04.26	Alexandre Reco - Lucas Poullain	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 W?WWL

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
28.06.23	Lucas Poullain - John Echeverria	2:0

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