Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Quimper - Qualification, hard - Final

Date: 27 January 2026, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Quimper 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Lucas Poullain		Maks Kasnikowski

	1	2
			Watch
	2.25	1.55
	2.34	1.53	Watch
	2.42	1.57
	6.25	1.09	Watch
	2.38	1.53
	2.32	1.54	Watch
	2.4	1.52
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.91 ↑ (2)	1.48 ↓ (1.72)

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lucas Poullain
33.7%

Maks Kasnikowski
66.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

46.2%

53.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.1%

50.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lucas Poullain has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lucas Poullain's form might have worsened.

Maks Kasnikowski has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Maks Kasnikowski's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lucas Poullain than the current prediction. (+15.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lucas Poullain, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maks Kasnikowski than the current prediction. (-15.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Maks Kasnikowski, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Lucas Poullain - Maks Kasnikowski Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Kasnikowski (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Poullain is ranked ATP: 388. Kasnikowski is ranked ATP: 420.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Kasnikowski may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lucas Poullain
ATP Challenger
26.01.26	Lucas Poullain - Maxime Janvier	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
14.01.26	Aleksandre Bakshi - Lucas Poullain	2:0 ✺
10.01.26	Moise Kouame - Lucas Poullain	2:0 ✺
09.01.26	Cosme Rolland de Ravel - Lucas Poullain	0:2 ✺
08.01.26	Leo Raquillet - Lucas Poullain	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WLLWW
- Maks Kasnikowski
ATP Challenger
26.01.26	Alberto Barroso Campos - Maks Kasnikowski	0:2 ✺
20.01.26	Maks Kasnikowski - Jurij Rodionov	0:2 ✺
19.01.26	Andres Andrade - Maks Kasnikowski	0:2 ✺
18.01.26	Maks Kasnikowski - Miguel Damas	2:0 ✺
12.01.26	Maks Kasnikowski - Milos Karol	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 WLWWL

Lucas Poullain - Maks Kasnikowski

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Lucas Poullain - Maks Kasnikowski Predictions

Preview

Form

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