Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Oeiras, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 20 January 2026, Tuesday


	Maks Kasnikowski		Jurij Rodionov

	1	2
	2.25	1.57	Watch
	2.1	1.65	Watch
	2.29	1.55	Watch
	2.25	1.57
	2.22	1.59	Watch
	2.2	1.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.22 ↓ (2.26)	1.59 ↑ (1.57)

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maks Kasnikowski
41.7%

Jurij Rodionov
58.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41%

59%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45%

55%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maks Kasnikowski has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Jurij Rodionov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maks Kasnikowski than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jurij Rodionov than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	0%	16.7%

Maks Kasnikowski - Jurij Rodionov Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Kasnikowski will win (votes: 5 - 83.3%). Rodionov will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

H/A, 2nd Set - Kasnikowski (2.15) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

H/A, 1st Set - Kasnikowski (2.07) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 Sets - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Maks Kasnikowski will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Kasnikowski (votes: 6 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Kasnikowski is ranked ATP: 420. Rodionov is ranked ATP: 167.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Kasnikowski may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Rodionov might have a minor edge in this game.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Maks Kasnikowski - the odds 2.26 are the expected chance of winning is 40.99%, but this team recently wins 100% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maks Kasnikowski
ATP Challenger
19.01.26	Andres Andrade - Maks Kasnikowski	0:2 ✺
18.01.26	Maks Kasnikowski - Miguel Damas	2:0 ✺
12.01.26	Maks Kasnikowski - Milos Karol	1:2 ✺
11.01.26	Maks Kasnikowski - Matthew Summers	2:0 ✺
25.11.25	Jan Kumstat - Maks Kasnikowski	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 WWLWL
- Jurij Rodionov
ATP Australian Open
14.01.26	Jurij Rodionov - Zachary Svajda	0:2 ✺
13.01.26	Juan Pablo Ficovich - Jurij Rodionov	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
10.01.26	Jurij Rodionov - Arthur Gea	1:2 ✺
09.01.26	Jurij Rodionov - Blake Ellis	2:1 ✺
08.01.26	Jordan Thompson - Jurij Rodionov	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LWLWW

Maks Kasnikowski - Jurij Rodionov: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide