Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W100 Gran Canaria, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 29 July 2025, Tuesday


	Lucia Cortez Llorca		Melisa Ercan

	1	2
			Watch
	2.1	1.65	Watch
	2.16	1.64
	2.07	1.65	Watch
	2.25	1.57
	2.1	1.67	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.14 ↓ (2.24)	1.64 ↑ (1.59)

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lucia Cortez Llorca
43.4%

Melisa Ercan
56.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.5%

58.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.3%

61.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lucia Cortez Llorca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Melisa Ercan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lucia Cortez Llorca than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lucia Cortez Llorca that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Melisa Ercan than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Melisa Ercan could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Cortez Llorca is ranked WTA: 462. Ercan is ranked WTA: 486.

Cortez Llorca has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Ercan has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Ercan may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Ercan might have a minor edge in this game.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lucia Cortez Llorca
ITF Tournaments
22.07.25	Lucia Cortez Llorca - Nastasja Mariana Schunk	0:2 ✺
16.07.25	Julia Garcia - Lucia Cortez Llorca	2:0 ✺
09.07.25	Lucia Cortez Llorca - Julia Garcia	0:2 ✺
01.07.25	Tena Lukas - Lucia Cortez Llorca	2:0 ✺
24.06.25	Aliona Bolsova Zadoinov - Lucia Cortez Llorca	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Melisa Ercan
ITF Tournaments
23.07.25	Rinko Matsuda - Melisa Ercan	Ercan M. retired ✺
26.06.25	Clervie Ngounoue - Melisa Ercan	2:0 ✺
25.06.25	Demi Tran - Melisa Ercan	0:2 ✺
20.06.25	Melisa Ercan - Diletta Cherubini	1:2 ✺
19.06.25	Celia Anson Sanchez - Melisa Ercan	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 ?LWLW

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lucia Cortez Llorca
ITF Tournaments
08.10.26	Lucia Cortez Llorca - Caijsa Wilda Hennemann	✺

Lucia Cortez Llorca - Melisa Ercan: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide