Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Asuncion 2, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 17 June 2026, Wednesday


	Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi		Santiago Fa Rodriguez Taverna

	1	2
			Watch
	1.28	3.40
	1.41	2.7	Watch
	1.47	2.8
	1.37	2.85	Watch
	1.44	2.63	Watch
	1.41	2.69	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↓ (1.43)	2.85 ↑ (2.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.00

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi
67.1%

Santiago Fa Rodriguez Taverna
32.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.4%

35.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.8%

35.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Santiago Fa Rodriguez Taverna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santiago Fa Rodriguez Taverna than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi - Santiago Fa Rodriguez Taverna Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Ambrogi is ranked ATP: 324. Rodriguez Taverna is ranked ATP: 399.

Ambrogi has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Rodriguez Taverna has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Rodriguez Taverna may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Ambrogi won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:1. (average 1.3:0.3).

Last Results with these Odds

Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi - the odds 1.43 are the expected chance of winning is 64.43%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi
ATP Challenger
16.06.26	Samuel Heredia - Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi	1:2 ✺
14.06.26	Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi - Johan Alexander Rodriguez	2:0 ✺
13.06.26	Guido Ivan Justo - Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi	1:2 ✺
12.06.26	Carlos Maria Zarate - Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi	1:2 ✺
11.06.26	Santiago Fa Rodriguez Taverna - Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WWWWW
- Santiago Fa Rodriguez Taverna
ATP Challenger
16.06.26	Ignacio Parisca - Santiago Fa Rodriguez Taverna	0:2 ✺
11.06.26	Santiago Fa Rodriguez Taverna - Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi	1:2 ✺
09.06.26	Karim Bennani - Santiago Fa Rodriguez Taverna	1:2 ✺
25.05.26	Santiago Fa Rodriguez Taverna - Maxime Janvier	0:2 ✺
24.05.26	Santiago Fa Rodriguez Taverna - Piotr Matuszewski	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
11.06.26	Santiago Fa Rodriguez Taverna - Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi	1:2
18.03.26	Santiago Fa Rodriguez Taverna - Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi	Rodriguez Taverna S. retired
03.02.26	Santiago Fa Rodriguez Taverna - Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi	0:2

Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi - Santiago Fa Rodriguez Taverna: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide