Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W50 Heraklion, clay - 1/32-finals

Date: 9 March 2026, Monday


	Lucija Ciric Bagaric		Jana Kovackova

	1	2
			Watch
	2.55	1.45	Watch
	2.75	1.46
	2.58	1.43	Watch
	2.3	1.53
	2.47	1.48	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.53 ↑ (2.29)	1.47 ↓ (1.57)

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lucija Ciric Bagaric
36.8%

Jana Kovackova
63.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.7%

59.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.4%

54.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lucija Ciric Bagaric has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

Jana Kovackova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lucija Ciric Bagaric than the current prediction. (+8.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lucija Ciric Bagaric, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jana Kovackova than the current prediction. (-8.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Jana Kovackova, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Lucija Ciric Bagaric - Jana Kovackova Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Ciric Bagaric is ranked WTA: 455. Kovackova is ranked WTA: 505.

Ciric Bagaric is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).

In recent matches, Kovackova has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Kovackova may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Kovackova is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Ciric Bagaric won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lucija Ciric Bagaric
ATP Challenger
15.02.26	Eden Silva - Lucija Ciric Bagaric	2:1 ✺
09.02.26	Lucija Ciric Bagaric - Dalila Jakupovic	0:2 ✺
08.02.26	Angela Fita Boluda - Lucija Ciric Bagaric	Fita Boluda A. retired ✺
ITF Tournaments
04.02.26	Lucija Ciric Bagaric - Iva Primorac	1:2 ✺
27.01.26	Federica Urgesi - Lucija Ciric Bagaric	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1 LL?LL
- Jana Kovackova
ITF Tournaments
03.03.26	Jana Kovackova - Dalila Spiteri	0:2 ✺
14.02.26	Sinja Kraus - Jana Kovackova	2:0 ✺
13.02.26	Guiomar Maristany Zuleta De Reales - Jana Kovackova	0:2 ✺
12.02.26	Mara Guth - Jana Kovackova	1:2 ✺
10.02.26	Jana Kovackova - Alice Rame	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
26.03.25	Jana Kovackova - Lucija Ciric Bagaric	2:0

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