Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W75 The Hague, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 7 July 2026, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: The Hague 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Federica Urgesi		Lucija Ciric Bagaric

	1	2
			Watch
	1.44	2.54
	1.4	2.72
	1.49	2.67
	1.44	2.6	Watch
	1.47	2.6
	1.44	2.59	Watch
	1.46	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↑ (1.39)	2.6 ↓ (2.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 20.50

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Federica Urgesi
64.2%

Lucija Ciric Bagaric
35.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

66.2%

33.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.8%

35.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Federica Urgesi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Lucija Ciric Bagaric has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Federica Urgesi than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lucija Ciric Bagaric than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Federica Urgesi - Lucija Ciric Bagaric Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Urgesi is ranked WTA: 293. Ciric Bagaric is ranked WTA: 409.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Urgesi may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Urgesi is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Urgesi won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Federica Urgesi
ITF Tournaments
24.06.26	Katerina Tsygourova - Federica Urgesi	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
09.06.26	Tamara Zidansek - Federica Urgesi	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
07.06.26	Federica Urgesi - Alessandra Mazzola	2:1 ✺
06.06.26	Federica Urgesi - Deborah Chiesa	2:0 ✺
05.06.26	Marta Lombardini - Federica Urgesi	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LLWWW
- Lucija Ciric Bagaric
ITF Tournaments
25.06.26	Deborah Chiesa - Lucija Ciric Bagaric	2:1 ✺
25.06.26	Lucija Ciric Bagaric - Maria Toma	2:0 ✺
24.06.26	Matilde Paoletti - Lucija Ciric Bagaric	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
14.06.26	Lucija Ciric Bagaric - Deborah Chiesa	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
11.06.26	Lucija Ciric Bagaric - Laura Mair	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
27.01.26	Federica Urgesi - Lucija Ciric Bagaric	2:0

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Federica Urgesi
ITF Tournaments
29.10.26	Federica Urgesi - Isis Louise Van den Broek	✺
28.10.26	Federica Urgesi - Ann Akasha Ceuca	✺

Federica Urgesi - Lucija Ciric Bagaric