Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Dubrovnik, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 24 March 2026, Tuesday


	Lucija Ciric Bagaric		Mia Ristic

	1	2
	3.4	1.3	Watch
	3.25	1.29	Watch
	3.43	1.32
	3.77	1.23	Watch
	3.25	1.33
	3.25	1.3	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.39 ↑ (2.98)	1.3 ↓ (1.36)

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lucija Ciric Bagaric
27.6%

Mia Ristic
72.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.3%

68.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.6%

68.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lucija Ciric Bagaric has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Mia Ristic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lucija Ciric Bagaric than the current prediction. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mia Ristic than the current prediction. (-4%)

Lucija Ciric Bagaric - Mia Ristic Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Ciric Bagaric (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Ciric Bagaric is ranked WTA: 450. Ristic is ranked WTA: 270.

Ciric Bagaric is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).

In recent matches, Ristic has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Ristic may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Ristic is considered a favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Ciric Bagaric won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:0. (average 2:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lucija Ciric Bagaric
ITF Tournaments
09.03.26	Lucija Ciric Bagaric - Jana Kovackova	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
15.02.26	Eden Silva - Lucija Ciric Bagaric	2:1 ✺
09.02.26	Lucija Ciric Bagaric - Dalila Jakupovic	0:2 ✺
08.02.26	Angela Fita Boluda - Lucija Ciric Bagaric	Fita Boluda A. retired ✺
ITF Tournaments
04.02.26	Lucija Ciric Bagaric - Iva Primorac	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1 LLL?L
- Mia Ristic
ATP Challenger
23.03.26	Noma Akugue Noha - Mia Ristic	0:2 ✺
22.03.26	Katarzyna Piter - Mia Ristic	0:2 ✺
08.03.26	Mia Ristic - Lisa Pigato	1:2 ✺
03.03.26	Despina Papamichail - Mia Ristic	2:0 ✺
02.03.26	Elena Pridankina - Mia Ristic	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
03.09.25	Mia Ristic - Lucija Ciric Bagaric	0:2
29.08.23	Mia Ristic - Lucija Ciric Bagaric	0:2

Lucija Ciric Bagaric - Mia Ristic: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide