Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Miami - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 16 March 2026, Monday


	Lucrezia Stefanini		Diane Parry

	1	2
			Watch
	2.75	1.37	Watch
	3.31	1.36
	2.99	1.37	Watch
	3	1.36
	3.05	1.33	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.02 ↑ (2.3)	1.36 ↓ (1.52)

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lucrezia Stefanini
31%

Diane Parry
69%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.8%

60.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.6%

55.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lucrezia Stefanini has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lucrezia Stefanini's form might have worsened.

Diane Parry has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Diane Parry's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lucrezia Stefanini than the current prediction. (+13.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lucrezia Stefanini, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Diane Parry than the current prediction. (-13.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Diane Parry, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	0%	60%

Lucrezia Stefanini - Diane Parry Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Stefanini will win (votes: 4 - 40%). Parry will win (votes: 6 - 60%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Parry: 29.6% – 90.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Parry (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Stefanini is ranked WTA: 138. Parry is ranked WTA: 111.

Recent form of Stefanini has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Parry has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Parry may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Parry will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Stefanini won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0. (average 1:0).

Last Results with these Odds

Diane Parry - the odds 1.52 are the expected chance of winning is 60.21%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lucrezia Stefanini
ATP Challenger
10.03.26	Lucrezia Stefanini - Sinja Kraus	0:2 ✺
09.03.26	Leolia Jeanjean - Lucrezia Stefanini	1:2 ✺
WTA Indian Wells
02.03.26	Lucrezia Stefanini - Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
18.02.26	Fiona Ferro - Lucrezia Stefanini	2:0 ✺
13.02.26	Lucrezia Stefanini - Matilde Jorge	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LWLLL
- Diane Parry
WTA Indian Wells
07.03.26	Madison Keys - Diane Parry	2:0 ✺
05.03.26	Diane Parry - Venus Williams	2:1 ✺
03.03.26	Lulu Sun - Diane Parry	0:2 ✺
01.03.26	Elizabeth Mandlik - Diane Parry	0:2 ✺
WTA Merida
21.02.26	Diane Parry - Heather Watson	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

WTA Monastir
05.10.22	Lucrezia Stefanini - Diane Parry	Stefanini L. retired
ITF Tournaments
14.07.21	Diane Parry - Lucrezia Stefanini	0:2

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