Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Paris, clay - Final

Date: 17 May 2026, Sunday


	Madison Keys		Diane Parry

	1	2
	1.22	4	Watch
	1.3	3.4
	1.22	3.85	Watch
	1.25	4.46
	1.23	3.97	Watch
	1.2	4.33
	1.24	3.89	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.24 ↓ (2.61)	3.99 ↑ (1.43)

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Madison Keys
76.3%

Diane Parry
23.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.4%

64.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.7%

68.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Madison Keys has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+40.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Madison Keys's performance.

Diane Parry has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-40.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Diane Parry might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Madison Keys than the current prediction. (-44.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Madison Keys that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Diane Parry than the current prediction. (+44.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Diane Parry could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Madison Keys - Diane Parry Predictions

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Keys will win (votes: 16 - 84.2%). Parry will win (votes: 3 - 15.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Keys: 67.8% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Keys (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Keys is ranked WTA: 19. Parry is ranked WTA: 108.

Keys is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Parry has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Parry may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Keys might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Keys won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Madison Keys
ATP Challenger
16.05.26	Madison Keys - Yulia Starodubtseva	2:1 ✺
15.05.26	Madison Keys - Anastasia Zakharova	2:0 ✺
14.05.26	Madison Keys - Tiantsoa Sarah Rakotomanga Rajaonah	2:0 ✺
12.05.26	Madison Keys - Fiona Ferro	2:0 ✺
WTA Roma
10.05.26	Madison Keys - Nikola Bartunkova	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WWWWL
- Diane Parry
ATP Challenger
16.05.26	Diane Parry - Alina Charaeva	2:0 ✺
16.05.26	Yulia Putintseva - Diane Parry	Parry D. Walkover ✺
14.05.26	Diane Parry - Chloe Paquet	2:1 ✺
12.05.26	Beatriz Haddad Maia - Diane Parry	0:2 ✺
WTA Roma
04.05.26	Leolia Jeanjean - Diane Parry	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 W?WWL

Latest Head to Head

WTA Indian Wells
07.03.26	Madison Keys - Diane Parry	2:0

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