Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Gaiba (Italy), grass

Date: 17 June 2024, Monday


	Lucrezia Stefanini		Dominika Salkova

	1	2
	1.3	3.4
	1.3	3.2
	1.38	3.1
	1.39	3.1
	1.33	3.25
	1.35	3.07	Watch
	1.33	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.34 ↓ (1.47)	3.18 ↑ (2.57)

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lucrezia Stefanini
70.4%

Dominika Salkova
29.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.7%

36.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.8%

31.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lucrezia Stefanini has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lucrezia Stefanini's performance.

Dominika Salkova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Dominika Salkova might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lucrezia Stefanini than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dominika Salkova than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	0%	16.7%

Lucrezia Stefanini - Dominika Salkova Predictions

Users Predictions: Lucrezia Stefanini will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Stefanini is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Salkova is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Stefanini could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Stefanini is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lucrezia Stefanini
WTA Nottingham
12.06.24	Kimberly Birrell - Lucrezia Stefanini	2:1 ✺
10.06.24	Lucrezia Stefanini - Lin Zhu	2:1 ✺
09.06.24	Lucrezia Stefanini - Talia Gibson	2:0 ✺
08.06.24	Lucrezia Stefanini - Amarni Banks	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
02.06.24	Talia Gibson - Lucrezia Stefanini	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 LWWWW
- Dominika Salkova
ATP Challenger
12.06.24	Dominika Salkova - Iryna Shymanovich	0:2 ✺
09.06.24	Dominika Salkova - Lucia Cortez Llorca	1:2 ✺
08.06.24	Dominika Salkova - Ainhoa Caballer Catiru	2:0
ITF Tournaments
30.05.24	Dominika Salkova - Nuria Brancaccio	1:2 ✺
29.05.24	Dominika Salkova - Sara Cakarevic	Cakarevic S. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLWL?

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