Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Rovereto, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 24 October 2025, Friday


	Lucrezia Stefanini		Gabriela Knutson

	1	2
	1.67	2.1	Watch
	1.68	2.07	Watch
	1.88	1.95
	1.37	2.90	Watch
	1.7	2.07	Watch
	1.69	2.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↓ (1.84)	2.19 ↑ (1.84)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lucrezia Stefanini
56.8%

Gabriela Knutson
43.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52%

48%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lucrezia Stefanini has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lucrezia Stefanini's performance.

Gabriela Knutson has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Gabriela Knutson might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lucrezia Stefanini than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gabriela Knutson than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

Lucrezia Stefanini - Gabriela Knutson Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Stefanini will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Knutson will win (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Stefanini is ranked WTA: 152. Knutson is ranked WTA: 199.

Stefanini is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Knutson's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Stefanini may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Last Results with these Odds

Lucrezia Stefanini - the odds 1.84 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Gabriela Knutson - the odds 1.84 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 9% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lucrezia Stefanini
ATP Challenger
23.10.25	Lucrezia Stefanini - Marina Bassols Ribera	2:1 ✺
21.10.25	Lucrezia Stefanini - Anastasiya Soboleva	Sobolieva A. retired ✺
ITF Tournaments
17.10.25	Linda Klimovicova - Lucrezia Stefanini	2:1 ✺
16.10.25	Raluca Georgiana Serban - Lucrezia Stefanini	1:2 ✺
15.10.25	Anastasiya Soboleva - Lucrezia Stefanini	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 W?LWW
- Gabriela Knutson
ATP Challenger
22.10.25	Gabriela Knutson - Eva Guerrero Alvarez	2:1 ✺
20.10.25	Dalila Jakupovic - Gabriela Knutson	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
16.10.25	Kaitlin Quevedo - Gabriela Knutson	2:0 ✺
14.10.25	Justina Mikulskyte - Gabriela Knutson	0:2 ✺
03.10.25	Gabriela Knutson - Lucie Havlickova	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WWLWL

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