Match Info

Date: 23 September 2022, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Croatia	SportKlub
Czech-republic	O2 TV Tenis
Finland	CMore, CMore Sport
France	beIN Sports
Greece	Nova Sports
Hungary	Match 4
Romania	Digi Sport 2
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub
Turkey	beIN Sports 1 MAX
Ukraine	Setanta Sports


	Ludmilla Samsonova		Garbine Muguruza

	1	2
	1.44	2.75	Watch
	1.44	2.75
	1.46	2.7
	1.44	2.65
	1.49	2.82
	1.4	2.75	Watch
	1.46	2.8	Watch
	1.46	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↓ (1.71)	2.76 ↑ (2.02)

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ludmilla Samsonova
65.6%

Garbine Muguruza
34.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.2%

45.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57%

43%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ludmilla Samsonova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ludmilla Samsonova's performance.

Garbine Muguruza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Garbine Muguruza might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ludmilla Samsonova than the current prediction. (-8.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ludmilla Samsonova that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Garbine Muguruza than the current prediction. (+8.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Garbine Muguruza could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
52.6%	0%	47.4%

Ludmilla Samsonova - Garbine Muguruza Predictions

Users Predictions: 38 users predict this event. Samsonova will win (votes: 20 - 52.6%). Muguruza will win (votes: 18 - 47.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Samsonova: 36.7% – 68.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Samsonova is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Muguruza is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Samsonova could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Samsonova will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Samsonova won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ludmilla Samsonova
WTA Tokyo
22.09.22	Ludmilla Samsonova - Xin Yu Wang	2:0 ✺
21.09.22	Elena Rybakina - Ludmilla Samsonova	0:2 ✺
WTA US Open
04.09.22	Ludmilla Samsonova - Ajla Tomljanovic	0:2 ✺
02.09.22	Ludmilla Samsonova - Aleksandra Krunic	2:0 ✺
31.08.22	Leylah Annie Fernandez - Ludmilla Samsonova	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WWLWW
- Garbine Muguruza
WTA Tokyo
20.09.22	Despina Papamichail - Garbine Muguruza	0:2 ✺
WTA US Open
03.09.22	Garbine Muguruza - Petra Kvitova	1:2 ✺
01.09.22	Garbine Muguruza - Linda Fruhvirtova	2:0 ✺
30.08.22	Garbine Muguruza - Clara Tauson	2:0 ✺
WTA Cincinnati
17.08.22	Elena Rybakina - Garbine Muguruza	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

WTA Australian Open
09.02.21	Garbine Muguruza - Ludmilla Samsonova	2:0

Ludmilla Samsonova - Garbine Muguruza: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide