What is the expert prediction for Lui Maxted vs Mark Ceban?

Our statistical model provides live predictions including win probabilities and estimated scores for Lui Maxted vs Mark Ceban. Follow the link for detailed analytics.

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Lui Maxted vs Mark Ceban Predictions, H2H Stats & TV Channels (Friday, August 07, 2026)

Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Roehampton, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 7 August 2026, Friday


	Lui Maxted		Mark Ceban

	1	2
			Watch
	1.50	2.35
	1.50	2.38
	1.56	2.45
	1.52	2.34	Watch
	1.54	2.40
	1.53	2.34	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↑ (1.31)	2.38 ↓ (3.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.50

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lui Maxted
60.9%

Mark Ceban
39.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70.1%

29.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69%

31%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lui Maxted has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lui Maxted's form might have worsened.

Mark Ceban has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Mark Ceban's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lui Maxted than the current prediction. (+8.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lui Maxted, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mark Ceban than the current prediction. (-8.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Mark Ceban, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Maxted is ranked ATP: 396.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

In this match, Maxted is the team to beat.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lui Maxted
ITF Tournaments
06.08.26	Lui Maxted - Marcus Walters	2:1 ✺
05.08.26	Lui Maxted - Rhys Lawlor	2:1 ✺
29.07.26	Lui Maxted - Billy Blaydes	1:2 ✺
24.07.26	Lui Maxted - Clement Lemire	0:2 ✺
22.07.26	Lui Maxted - Louis Larue	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 WWLLW
- Mark Ceban
ITF Tournaments
06.08.26	Mark Ceban - George Loffhagen	2:0 ✺
04.08.26	Mark Ceban - Charlie Robertson	2:0 ✺
30.07.26	Ronald Hohmann - Mark Ceban	2:1 ✺
29.07.26	Mark Ceban - Luke Hooper	2:0 ✺
Boys Singles Wimbledon
07.07.26	Mark Ceban - Jamie Mackenzie	1:2
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.9 WWLWL

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