Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Santa Cruz, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 19 June 2025, Thursday


	Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes		Bautista Vilicich

	1	2
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.5	2.4	Watch
			Watch
	1.54	2.52
			Watch
			Watch
	1.53	2.4	Watch
	2.2	1.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↓ (2.2)	2.22 ↑ (1.55)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes
57.1%

Bautista Vilicich
42.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.3%

58.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.2%

60.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes's performance.

Bautista Vilicich has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Bautista Vilicich might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes than the current prediction. (-17.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bautista Vilicich than the current prediction. (+17.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Bautista Vilicich could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
82.4%	0%	17.6%

Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes - Bautista Vilicich Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 Games - Alvarez Valdes (1.66) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes will win (14 of 17 users predict this - 82.35%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.23% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes will win (10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 13 Selected Experts predict this event. Alvarez Valdes (votes: 12 - 92.3%). Vilicich (votes: 1 - 7.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Alvarez Valdes is ranked ATP: 859. Vilicich is ranked ATP: 773.

Recent performances by Alvarez Valdes have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Vilicich is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Vilicich may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes
ATP Challenger
17.06.25	Renzo Olivo - Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes	Olivo R. retired ✺
16.06.25	Bruno Kuzuhara - Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes	0:2 ✺
15.06.25	Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes - Igor Gimenez	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
12.06.25	Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes - Moerani Bouzige	0:2 ✺
11.06.25	Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes - Andrew Delgado	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 ?WWLW
- Bautista Vilicich
ATP Challenger
17.06.25	Bautista Vilicich - Nicolas Kicker	2:0 ✺
16.06.25	Juan Manuel La Serna - Bautista Vilicich	1:2 ✺
15.06.25	Santiago Lora - Bautista Vilicich	0:2 ✺
08.06.25	Carlos Maria Zarate - Bautista Vilicich	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
27.05.25	Bautista Vilicich - Alexander Klintcharov	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 WWWLW

Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes - Bautista Vilicich: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide