Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Zadar (Croatia), clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 18 March 2025, Tuesday


	Luka Mikrut		Federico Arnaboldi

	1	2
	1.4	2.75	Watch
	1.44	2.6
	1.74	1.98	Watch
	1.43	2.86
	1.43	2.75	Watch
	1.4	2.75	Watch
	1.41	2.77	Watch
	1.74	1.98
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↓ (1.85)	2.56 ↑ (1.85)

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Luka Mikrut
63%

Federico Arnaboldi
37%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luka Mikrut has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Luka Mikrut's performance.

Federico Arnaboldi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Federico Arnaboldi might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
94.1%	0%	5.9%

Luka Mikrut - Federico Arnaboldi Predictions

Users Predictions: Luka Mikrut will win (16 of 17 users predict this - 94.12%).
Confidence interval (95%): 82.94% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Mikrut is ranked ATP: 360. Arnaboldi is ranked ATP: 220.

Mikrut is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Mikrut could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Mikrut will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Mikrut won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:0

Last Results with these Odds

Luka Mikrut - the odds 1.85 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Federico Arnaboldi - the odds 1.85 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Luka Mikrut
ATP Challenger
17.03.25	Oleksandr Ovcharenko - Luka Mikrut	0:2 ✺
16.03.25	Nino Serdarusic - Luka Mikrut	Serdarusic N. retired ✺
ITF Tournaments
09.03.25	Luka Mikrut - Max Alcala Gurri	2:0 ✺
08.03.25	Luka Mikrut - Mert Naci Turker	2:0 ✺
06.03.25	Luka Mikrut - Andrey Chepelev	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 W?WWW
- Federico Arnaboldi
ATP Challenger
25.02.25	Federico Arnaboldi - Alexander Blockx	Canceled ✺
10.02.25	Javier Barranco Cosano - Federico Arnaboldi	2:0 ✺
03.02.25	Pablo Carreno-Busta - Federico Arnaboldi	2:0 ✺
28.01.25	Giulio Zeppieri - Federico Arnaboldi	2:0 ✺
16.01.25	Murphy Cassone - Federico Arnaboldi	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 ?LLLL

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
23.03.23	Luka Mikrut - Federico Arnaboldi	2:0

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