Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Zadar (Croatia) - Qualification, clay - Final

Date: 17 March 2025, Monday


	Oleksandr Ovcharenko		Luka Mikrut

	1	2
			Watch
	2.15	1.6	Watch
	2.19	1.6	Watch
	2.23	1.61	Watch
	2.2	1.62	Watch
	2.19	1.63	Watch
	2.19	1.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.19 ↑ (2.01)	1.61 ↓ (1.71)

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Oleksandr Ovcharenko
42.3%

Luka Mikrut
57.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46%

54%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.1%

53.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oleksandr Ovcharenko has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Luka Mikrut has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oleksandr Ovcharenko than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luka Mikrut than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Oleksandr Ovcharenko - Luka Mikrut Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Ovcharenko will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Mikrut will win (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Ovcharenko is ranked ATP: 306. Mikrut is ranked ATP: 391.

Recent matches Ovcharenko is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Mikrut is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Mikrut could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Mikrut will have a small advantage in this match.

Our prediction for today's Mikrut to win the game is with odds 1.62.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Oleksandr Ovcharenko
ATP Challenger
16.03.25	Oleksandr Ovcharenko - Alex Molcan	2:1 ✺
16.02.25	Oleksandr Ovcharenko - Petr Bar-Biryukov	0:2 ✺
11.02.25	Egor Agafonov - Oleksandr Ovcharenko	2:0 ✺
07.02.25	Oleksandr Ovcharenko - Dalibor Svrcina	0:2 ✺
06.02.25	Oleksandr Ovcharenko - Alexey Zakharov	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WLLLW
- Luka Mikrut
ATP Challenger
16.03.25	Nino Serdarusic - Luka Mikrut	Serdarusic N. retired ✺
ITF Tournaments
09.03.25	Luka Mikrut - Max Alcala Gurri	2:0 ✺
08.03.25	Luka Mikrut - Mert Naci Turker	2:0 ✺
06.03.25	Luka Mikrut - Andrey Chepelev	2:0 ✺
05.03.25	Luka Mikrut - Stefan Adrian Andreescu	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 ?WWWW

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