Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Cordenons (Italy) - Qualification, clay - Final

Date: 5 August 2024, Monday

Referee: Weiss M. (Aut)


	Luka Mikrut		Marcello Serafini

	1	2
			Watch
	1.62	2.1
	1.65	2.1	Watch
	1.62	2.25
	1.62	2.21
	1.73	2	Watch
	1.65	2.18	Watch
	1.65	2.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↓ (1.85)	2.13 ↑ (1.85)

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Luka Mikrut
56.4%

Marcello Serafini
43.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.2%

49.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luka Mikrut has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Luka Mikrut's performance.

Marcello Serafini has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Marcello Serafini might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luka Mikrut than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Luka Mikrut that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marcello Serafini than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Marcello Serafini could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Luka Mikrut - Marcello Serafini Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Mikrut is ranked ATP: 355. Serafini is ranked ATP: 444.

Both players are now playing unstable.

Serafini could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Luka Mikrut
ATP Challenger
04.08.24	Luka Mikrut - Neil Oberleitner	2:1 ✺
ATP Umag
21.07.24	Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Luka Mikrut	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
08.07.24	Luka Mikrut - Jacopo Berrettini	0:2 ✺
07.07.24	Luka Mikrut - Nikolay Vylegzhanin	2:0 ✺
02.07.24	Cezar Cretu - Luka Mikrut	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 WLLWL
- Marcello Serafini
ATP Challenger
04.08.24	Andrea Guerrieri - Marcello Serafini	1:2 ✺
29.07.24	Kirill Kivattsev - Marcello Serafini	2:0 ✺
28.07.24	Niccolo Catini - Marcello Serafini	1:2 ✺
21.07.24	Petr Nesterov - Marcello Serafini	2:0 ✺
14.07.24	Marcello Serafini - Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 WLWLL

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