Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 ROVINJ (CROATIA), CLAY - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 12 March 2024, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: ROVINJ (CROATIA) 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Luka Mikrut		Mili Poljicak

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Luka Mikrut
50.8%

Mili Poljicak
49.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

57.6%

42.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.8%

44.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luka Mikrut has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Luka Mikrut's form might have worsened.

Mili Poljicak has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Mili Poljicak's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luka Mikrut than the current prediction. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mili Poljicak than the current prediction. (-5%)

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Mikrut is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Poljicak is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Poljicak could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Mikrut will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Luka Mikrut
ITF Tournaments
07.03.24	Luka Mikrut - Michele Ribecai	0:2 ✺
06.03.24	Luka Mikrut - Vuk Radjenovic	2:0 ✺
20.02.24	Tibo Colson - Luka Mikrut	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
11.02.24	Nikolay Vylegzhanin - Luka Mikrut	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
24.01.24	Luka Mikrut - Ryan Nijboer	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LWLLL
- Mili Poljicak
ITF Tournaments
05.03.24	Mili Poljicak - Jay Clarke	0:2 ✺
16.02.24	Mili Poljicak - Max Hans Rehberg	1:2 ✺
15.02.24	Daniel Masur - Mili Poljicak	0:2 ✺
13.02.24	Theo Papamalamis - Mili Poljicak	1:2 ✺
30.01.24	Ilia Simakin - Mili Poljicak	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 LLWWL

Luka Mikrut - Mili Poljicak