Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Mistelbach, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 19 August 2026, Wednesday


	Luka Talan Lopatic		Alexander Wagner

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Luka Talan Lopatic
59.4%

Alexander Wagner
40.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

58.7%

41.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.3%

44.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luka Talan Lopatic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Alexander Wagner has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luka Talan Lopatic than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alexander Wagner than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Talan Lopatic is ranked ATP: 1042. Wagner is ranked ATP: 1194.

Talan Lopatic has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Wagner is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Wagner may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Talan Lopatic could have a small edge in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Luka Talan Lopatic
ITF Tournaments
05.08.26	Sergio Callejon Hernando - Luka Talan Lopatic	2:0 ✺
04.08.26	Tomas Quesada Perez - Luka Talan Lopatic	1:2 ✺
30.07.26	Luka Talan Lopatic - Ignacio Parisca	1:2 ✺
28.07.26	Luka Talan Lopatic - Pedro Montero Nicolau	2:0 ✺
17.07.26	Luka Talan Lopatic - Javier Barranco Cosano	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LWLWL
- Alexander Wagner
ITF Tournaments
06.08.26	Marcel Zielinski - Alexander Wagner	2:1 ✺
05.08.26	Vitek Horak - Alexander Wagner	Horak V. Retired ✺
29.07.26	Marlon Vankan - Alexander Wagner	2:0 ✺
23.07.26	Andrej Martin - Alexander Wagner	2:1 ✺
21.07.26	Aleksandr Braynin - Alexander Wagner	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 L?LLW

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Luka Talan Lopatic
ITF Tournaments
16.10.26	Luka Talan Lopatic - Marcus Walters	✺

Luka Talan Lopatic - Alexander Wagner: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide