Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Ostrava (Czech Republic), clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 22 April 2024, Monday

Referee: Svarova N. (Cze)


	Lukas Neumayer		Dennis Novak

	1	2
	2.1	1.67	Watch
	2	1.72
	2	1.75	Watch
	2.08	1.78
	2.08	1.78
	2.1	1.67	Watch
	2.2	1.64	Watch
	2.05	1.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.08 ↓ (2.17)	1.71 ↑ (1.62)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lukas Neumayer
45.2%

Dennis Novak
54.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.8%

57.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.2%

57.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lukas Neumayer has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Dennis Novak has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lukas Neumayer than the current prediction. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dennis Novak than the current prediction. (+3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	0%	83.3%

Lukas Neumayer - Dennis Novak Predictions

Users Predictions: Dennis Novak will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Two players are playing changeable.

Neumayer could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both players are almost equal.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lukas Neumayer
ATP Challenger
15.04.24	Lukas Neumayer - Samuel Vincent Ruggeri	Neumayer L. retired ✺
14.04.24	Lukas Neumayer - Alexis Gautier	2:0 ✺
10.04.24	Zsombor Piros - Lukas Neumayer	2:0 ✺
09.04.24	Timofey Skatov - Lukas Neumayer	Canceled ✺
02.04.24	Lukas Neumayer - Bernabe Zapata Miralles	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 ?WL?L
- Dennis Novak
ATP Challenger
19.04.24	Valentin Royer - Dennis Novak	2:1 ✺
17.04.24	Franco Agamenone - Dennis Novak	0:2 ✺
15.04.24	Dennis Novak - Juan Manuel Cerundolo	2:0 ✺
02.04.24	Dennis Novak - Lorenzo Giustino	Novak D. retired ✺
27.03.24	Dennis Novak - Ivan Gakhov	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LWW?L

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