Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Oeiras 3 (Portugal), clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 19 April 2024, Friday

Referee: Anderson B. (Gbr)


	Valentin Royer		Dennis Novak

	1	2
	1.67	2.1	Watch
	1.65	2.1
	1.65	2.15	Watch
	1.71	2.21
	1.71	2.22
	1.67	2.1	Watch
	1.54	2.36	Watch
	1.71	2.16
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↓ (1.91)	2.18 ↑ (1.78)

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Valentin Royer
56.7%

Dennis Novak
43.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.2%

51.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.1%

49.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Valentin Royer has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Valentin Royer's performance.

Dennis Novak has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Dennis Novak might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valentin Royer than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Valentin Royer that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dennis Novak than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Dennis Novak could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.5%	0%	37.5%

Valentin Royer - Dennis Novak Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Royer will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Novak will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Royer: 29% – 96%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Right away both players are in a satisfying form.

Royer could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Royer won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Valentin Royer
ATP Challenger
17.04.24	Jesper De Jong - Valentin Royer	0:2 ✺
16.04.24	Valentin Royer - Adrian Andreev	2:1 ✺
15.04.24	Valentin Royer - Javier Barranco Cosano	2:1 ✺
14.04.24	Valentin Royer - Orlando Luz	2:1 ✺
03.04.24	Nick Hardt - Valentin Royer	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 WWWWL
- Dennis Novak
ATP Challenger
17.04.24	Franco Agamenone - Dennis Novak	0:2 ✺
15.04.24	Dennis Novak - Juan Manuel Cerundolo	2:0 ✺
02.04.24	Dennis Novak - Lorenzo Giustino	Novak D. retired ✺
27.03.24	Dennis Novak - Ivan Gakhov	0:2 ✺
25.03.24	Dennis Novak - Javier Barranco Cosano	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WW?LW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
11.01.23	Dennis Novak - Valentin Royer	2:0

Valentin Royer - Dennis Novak: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide