Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Mauthausen (Austria), clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 7 May 2024, Tuesday

Referee: Weiss M. (Aut)


	Lukas Neumayer		Gabriel Diallo

	1	2
	2.38	1.53	Watch
	2.25	1.57
	2.35	1.55	Watch
	2.42	1.58
	2.42	1.59
	2.2	1.62	Watch
	2.38	1.55	Watch
	2.31	1.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.34 ↑ (2.06)	1.57 ↓ (1.69)

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lukas Neumayer
40.1%

Gabriel Diallo
59.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.1%

54.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.9%

53.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lukas Neumayer has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

Gabriel Diallo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lukas Neumayer than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lukas Neumayer, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gabriel Diallo than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Gabriel Diallo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
6.7%	0%	93.3%

Lukas Neumayer - Gabriel Diallo Predictions

Users Predictions: Gabriel Diallo will win (14 of 15 users predict this - 93.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 80.7% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Both players are now playing unstable.

Neumayer could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Diallo will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lukas Neumayer
ATP Challenger
22.04.24	Lukas Neumayer - Dennis Novak	Neumayer L. retired ✺
15.04.24	Lukas Neumayer - Samuel Vincent Ruggeri	Neumayer L. retired ✺
14.04.24	Lukas Neumayer - Alexis Gautier	2:0 ✺
10.04.24	Zsombor Piros - Lukas Neumayer	2:0 ✺
09.04.24	Timofey Skatov - Lukas Neumayer	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 ??WL?
- Gabriel Diallo
ATP Challenger
01.05.24	Gabriel Diallo - Juan Manuel Cerundolo	0:2 ✺
30.04.24	Gabriel Diallo - Hugo Dellien	2:0 ✺
29.04.24	Gabriel Diallo - Orlando Luz	2:0 ✺
22.04.24	Henri Squire - Gabriel Diallo	2:1 ✺
12.04.24	Gabriel Diallo - Thanasi Kokkinakis	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LWWLL

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