Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Cordenons, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 7 August 2025, Thursday


	Lukas Neumayer		Gabriele Piraino

	1	2
	1.33	3.25	Watch
	1.5	2.4	Watch
	1.35	2.95	Watch
	1.37	3.12
	1.37	3.01	Watch
	1.5	2.5	Watch
	1.51	2.5	Watch
	1.48	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↓ (1.48)	2.79 ↑ (2.6)

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lukas Neumayer
66.2%

Gabriele Piraino
33.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.7%

36.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.5%

40.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lukas Neumayer has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Gabriele Piraino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lukas Neumayer than the current prediction. (-6.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lukas Neumayer that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gabriele Piraino than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gabriele Piraino could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	0%	16.7%

Lukas Neumayer - Gabriele Piraino Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 9.5 Games, 1st Set - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1.5 Sets - Piraino (1.80) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Lukas Neumayer will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Lukas Neumayer will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Neumayer (votes: 6 - 75%). Piraino (votes: 2 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Neumayer is ranked ATP: 172. Piraino is ranked ATP: 411.

In recent matches, Neumayer has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Piraino is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Neumayer may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Neumayer might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Neumayer won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lukas Neumayer
ATP Challenger
05.08.25	Lukas Neumayer - Mariano Kestelboim	2:0 ✺
ATP Kitzbuhel
22.07.25	Yannick Hanfmann - Lukas Neumayer	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
18.07.25	Lukas Klein - Lukas Neumayer	2:1 ✺
17.07.25	Daniel Vallejo - Lukas Neumayer	1:2 ✺
15.07.25	Andrea Collarini - Lukas Neumayer	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WLLWW
- Gabriele Piraino
ATP Challenger
05.08.25	Gabriele Piraino - Jelle Sels	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
03.08.25	Gabriele Piraino - Raphael Perot	2:1 ✺
02.08.25	Cezar Cretu - Gabriele Piraino	0:2 ✺
01.08.25	Imanol Lopez Morillo - Gabriele Piraino	0:2 ✺
31.07.25	Vincent Marysko - Gabriele Piraino	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
04.03.22	Lukas Neumayer - Gabriele Piraino	2:1

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