Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Kigali (Rwanda), clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 27 February 2025, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Kigali (Rwanda) 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Lukas Neumayer		Marco Cecchinato

	1	2
	1.62	2.2	Watch
	1.62	2.17	Watch
	1.68	2.25
	1.66	2.17
	1.67	2.1	Watch
	1.65	2.16	Watch
	1.62	2.17
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↓ (1.85)	2.17 ↑ (1.84)

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lukas Neumayer
56.9%

Marco Cecchinato
43.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

49.9%

50.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.7%

53.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lukas Neumayer has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lukas Neumayer's performance.

Marco Cecchinato has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Marco Cecchinato might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lukas Neumayer than the current prediction. (-10.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lukas Neumayer that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marco Cecchinato than the current prediction. (+10.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Marco Cecchinato could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
55.6%	0%	44.4%

Lukas Neumayer - Marco Cecchinato Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Neumayer will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Cecchinato will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Neumayer: 23.1% – 88.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Neumayer is ranked ATP: 211. Cecchinato is ranked ATP: 426.

Recent matches Neumayer is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Cecchinato is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Neumayer won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 1:6 (average 0.3:2).

Last Results with these Odds

Lukas Neumayer - the odds 1.85 are the expected chance of winning is 49.86%, but this team recently wins 27% of matches with these odds.

Marco Cecchinato - the odds 1.84 are the expected chance of winning is 50.14%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lukas Neumayer
ATP Challenger
26.02.25	Lukas Neumayer - Carlos Sanchez Jover	2:1 ✺
24.02.25	Lukas Neumayer - Gabriele Pennaforti	2:1 ✺
10.02.25	Benjamin Hassan - Lukas Neumayer	2:1 ✺
04.02.25	Javier Barranco Cosano - Lukas Neumayer	2:1 ✺
Davis Cup World Group
01.02.25	Lukas Neumayer - Eero Vasa	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 WWLL?
- Marco Cecchinato
ATP Challenger
26.02.25	Marco Cecchinato - Carlos Taberner	2:0 ✺
25.02.25	Geoffrey Blancaneaux - Marco Cecchinato	0:2 ✺
03.02.25	Juan Bautista Torres - Marco Cecchinato	2:0 ✺
02.02.25	Marco Cecchinato - Pedro Sakamoto	2:0 ✺
28.01.25	Marco Cecchinato - Mateus Alves	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
28.05.24	Lukas Neumayer - Marco Cecchinato	0:2
20.09.22	Lukas Neumayer - Marco Cecchinato	0:2

Lukas Neumayer - Marco Cecchinato