Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Kigali (Rwanda), clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 24 February 2025, Monday


	Lukas Neumayer		Gabriele Pennaforti

	1	2
	1.36	3	Watch
	1.34	3	Watch
	1.33	3.37
	1.35	3.1	Watch
	1.36	3	Watch
	1.34	3.1	Watch
	1.34	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.35 ↓ (1.36)	3.08 ↑ (2.93)

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lukas Neumayer
69.6%

Gabriele Pennaforti
30.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.3%

31.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.3%

30.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lukas Neumayer has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Gabriele Pennaforti has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lukas Neumayer than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gabriele Pennaforti than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Lukas Neumayer - Gabriele Pennaforti Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Neumayer is ranked ATP: 212. Pennaforti is ranked ATP: 424.

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Neumayer could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Neumayer is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lukas Neumayer
ATP Challenger
10.02.25	Benjamin Hassan - Lukas Neumayer	2:1 ✺
04.02.25	Javier Barranco Cosano - Lukas Neumayer	2:1 ✺
Davis Cup World Group
01.02.25	Lukas Neumayer - Eero Vasa	Canceled ✺
31.01.25	Lukas Neumayer - Otto Virtanen	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
13.01.25	Lukas Neumayer - Eliot Spizzirri	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 LL?WL
- Gabriele Pennaforti
ITF Tournaments
15.02.25	Gabriele Pennaforti - Max Alcala Gurri	0:2 ✺
14.02.25	Manel Lazaro Juncadella - Gabriele Pennaforti	0:2 ✺
13.02.25	Andrey Chepelev - Gabriele Pennaforti	0:2 ✺
12.02.25	Alex Martinez - Gabriele Pennaforti	0:2 ✺
09.02.25	Gabriele Pennaforti - Max Alcala Gurri	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LWWWL

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