Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Braga, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 9 October 2026, Friday


	Lukas Neumayer		Max Alcala Gurri

	1	2
			Watch
	2.00	1.72
	2.05	1.73	Watch
	2.07	1.69	Watch
	2.09	1.71
	2.02	1.69	Watch
	2.00	1.70
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.04 ↑ (2.01)	1.71 ↑ (1.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.50

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lukas Neumayer
45.6%

Max Alcala Gurri
54.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.8%

54.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lukas Neumayer has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Max Alcala Gurri has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lukas Neumayer than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Max Alcala Gurri than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Lukas Neumayer - Max Alcala Gurri Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Neumayer will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Alcala Gurri will win (votes: 4 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Neumayer: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Neumayer is ranked ATP: 180., and Alcala Gurri is ranked ATP: 138..

Neumayer has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Alcala Gurri is on a roll with consecutive victories (last 5 matches: 5 wins).

Alcala Gurri may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players have fairly balanced chances of victory.

Our forecast points to a victory for Alcala Gurri in today's match, at odds of 1.71.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Neumayer has recorded 2 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 4:1 (averaging 2:0.5 goals per game).

Last Results with these Odds

Lukas Neumayer - the odds 2.01 are the expected chance of winning is 45.82%, but this team recently wins 60% of matches with these odds.

Max Alcala Gurri - the odds 1.7 are the expected chance of winning is 54.18%, but this team recently wins 64% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lukas Neumayer
ATP Challenger
08.10.26	Olle Wallin - Lukas Neumayer	0:2 ✺
07.10.26	Florian Broska - Lukas Neumayer	1:2 ✺
25.09.26	Lukas Neumayer - Luka Mikrut	0:2 ✺
23.09.26	Lukas Neumayer - Juan Cruz Martin Manzano	2:1 ✺
22.09.26	Lukas Neumayer - Stefano DAgostino	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WWLWW
- Max Alcala Gurri
ATP Challenger
08.10.26	Patrick Schoen - Max Alcala Gurri	0:2 ✺
07.10.26	Dali Blanch - Max Alcala Gurri	0:2 ✺
27.09.26	Max Alcala Gurri - Jonas Forejtek	2:0 ✺
26.09.26	Max Alcala Gurri - Carlos Taberner	2:0 ✺
25.09.26	Max Alcala Gurri - Pol Martin Tiffon	Martin Tiffon P. Retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WWWW?

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
21.03.25	Lukas Neumayer - Max Alcala Gurri	2:0
07.04.22	Lukas Neumayer - Max Alcala Gurri	2:1

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