Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Kitzbuhel (Austria), clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 24 July 2024, Wednesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports 2
Bulgaria	Max Sport 1
Denmark	TV2 Play
Finland	MTV Katsomo
Germany	Sky Sport Tennis
Hungary	Match 4
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 4, Ziggo Sport
Portugal	Sport TV2
Romania	Prima Sport 3
Sweden	TV4 Tennis


	Lukas Neumayer		Nicolas Moreno De Alboran

	1	2
	2.3	1.62	Watch
	2.2	1.65
	2.23	1.63	Watch
	2.31	1.68
	2.29	1.65	Watch
	2.3	1.62	Watch
	2.22	1.68	Watch
	2.23	1.63
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.26 ↑ (1.82)	1.65 ↓ (1.98)

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lukas Neumayer
42.1%

Nicolas Moreno De Alboran
57.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.1%

47.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.3%

44.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lukas Neumayer has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lukas Neumayer's form might have worsened.

Nicolas Moreno De Alboran has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Nicolas Moreno De Alboran's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lukas Neumayer than the current prediction. (+13.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lukas Neumayer, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nicolas Moreno De Alboran than the current prediction. (-13.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Nicolas Moreno De Alboran, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
56.2%	0%	43.7%

Lukas Neumayer - Nicolas Moreno De Alboran Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Neumayer will win (votes: 9 - 60%). Moreno De Alboran will win (votes: 6 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Neumayer: 35.2% – 84.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Neumayer is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Moreno De Alboran is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Moreno De Alboran could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Neumayer won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lukas Neumayer
ATP Kitzbuhel
23.07.24	Sebastian Ofner - Lukas Neumayer	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
21.07.24	Lukas Neumayer - Facundo Mena	0:2 ✺
20.07.24	Lukas Neumayer - Toby Alex Kodat	2:0 ✺
19.07.24	Lukas Neumayer - Matthew Dellavedova	2:0 ✺
18.07.24	Lukas Neumayer - Filip Duda	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WLWWW
- Nicolas Moreno De Alboran
ATP Kitzbuhel
22.07.24	Nicolas Moreno De Alboran - Andrea Collarini	2:0 ✺
ATP Gstaad
14.07.24	Nicolas Moreno De Alboran - Quentin Halys	0:2 ✺
13.07.24	Nicolas Moreno De Alboran - Andrea Collarini	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
09.07.24	Gabi Adrian Boitan - Nicolas Moreno De Alboran	2:1 ✺
07.07.24	Dmitry Popko - Nicolas Moreno De Alboran	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
17.09.22	Nicolas Moreno De Alboran - Lukas Neumayer	0:2

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