Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Kitzbuhel (Austria), clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 23 July 2024, Tuesday

Referee: Messina M. (San)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	SportKlub 1
Czech-republic	Premier Sport 2
Germany	Sky Sport Tennis
Hungary	Match 4
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport
Portugal	Sport TV1
Slovenia	SportKlub 1
Sweden	TV4 Sport Live 1, TV4 Tennis


	Sebastian Ofner		Lukas Neumayer

	1	2
	1.44	2.75	Watch
	1.45	2.7
	1.45	2.7	Watch
	1.45	2.92
	1.46	2.82	Watch
	1.5	2.6	Watch
	1.47	2.71	Watch
	1.45	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.46 ↓ (1.55)	2.74 ↑ (2.47)

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sebastian Ofner
65.2%

Lukas Neumayer
34.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.4%

38.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63%

37%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sebastian Ofner has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

Lukas Neumayer has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sebastian Ofner than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lukas Neumayer than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85%	0%	15%

Sebastian Ofner - Lukas Neumayer Predictions

Users Predictions: Sebastian Ofner will win (17 of 20 users predict this - 85%).
Confidence interval (95%): 69.35% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Neumayer could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Ofner will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Ofner won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sebastian Ofner
ATP Hamburg
16.07.24	Marco Trungelliti - Sebastian Ofner	Ofner S. retired ✺
ATP Wimbledon
01.07.24	Aleksandar Vukic - Sebastian Ofner	3:2 ✺
ATP Mallorca
29.06.24	Sebastian Ofner - Alejandro Tabilo	0:2 ✺
28.06.24	Paul Jubb - Sebastian Ofner	0:2 ✺
27.06.24	Alex Michelsen - Sebastian Ofner	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 ?LLWW
- Lukas Neumayer
ITF Tournaments
21.07.24	Lukas Neumayer - Facundo Mena	0:2 ✺
20.07.24	Lukas Neumayer - Toby Alex Kodat	2:0 ✺
19.07.24	Lukas Neumayer - Matthew Dellavedova	2:0 ✺
18.07.24	Lukas Neumayer - Filip Duda	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
12.07.24	Lukas Neumayer - Kyrian Jacquet	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
16.07.23	Lukas Neumayer - Sebastian Ofner	0:2
Exhibition Others Matches Tennis Men
11.06.20	Sebastian Ofner - Lukas Neumayer	2:0
Exhibition Pro Series Austria Men
10.06.20	Sebastian Ofner - Lukas Neumayer	Canceled
04.06.20	Lukas Neumayer - Sebastian Ofner	0:2

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