Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 MARBURG (GERMANY), CLAY - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 4 July 2023, Tuesday


	Lukas Pokorny		Daniel Paty

	1	2
	1.5	2.35
	1.49	2.45
	1.5	2.48
	1.44	2.62
	1.48	2.47	Watch
	1.47	2.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.48 ↓ (1.59)	2.47 ↑ (2.15)

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lukas Pokorny
62.5%

Daniel Paty
37.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.5%

42.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.1%

44.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lukas Pokorny has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

Daniel Paty has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lukas Pokorny than the current prediction. (-7.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lukas Pokorny that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Daniel Paty than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Daniel Paty could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Pokorny is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Paty is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Pokorny could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Pokorny will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lukas Pokorny
ITF Tournaments
21.06.23	Lukas Pokorny - Jiri Barnat	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
13.06.23	Mohamed Safwat - Lukas Pokorny	2:1 ✺
05.06.23	Lukas Pokorny - Dimitar Kuzmanov	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
25.05.23	Radomir Tomic - Lukas Pokorny	2:1 ✺
24.05.23	Konstantin Cucka - Lukas Pokorny	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1 LLLLW
- Daniel Paty
ITF Tournaments
28.06.23	Goncalo Oliveira - Daniel Paty	2:0 ✺
22.06.23	Michael Vrbensky - Daniel Paty	2:1 ✺
20.06.23	Daniel Paty - Ivan Denisov	2:1 ✺
26.05.23	Emilien Voisin - Daniel Paty	2:0 ✺
25.05.23	Daniel Paty - Jan Hrazdil	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LLWLW

Lukas Pokorny - Daniel Paty: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide