Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Monastir 5, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 7 August 2025, Thursday


	Lukas Pokorny		Mwendwa Mbithi

	1	2
			Watch
	1.36	2.8
	1.39	2.82
	1.40	2.76	Watch
	1.4	2.75
			Watch
	1.47	2.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↓ (1.47)	2.7 ↑ (2.38)

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lukas Pokorny
65.8%

Mwendwa Mbithi
34.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.8%

38.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.5%

40.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lukas Pokorny has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

Mwendwa Mbithi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lukas Pokorny than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lukas Pokorny that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mwendwa Mbithi than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mwendwa Mbithi could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Lukas Pokorny - Mwendwa Mbithi Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Pokorny is ranked ATP: 399. Mbithi is ranked ATP: 830.

Pokorny has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Mbithi is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Pokorny may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lukas Pokorny
ITF Tournaments
06.08.25	Lukas Pokorny - Ivan Dreycopp	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
21.07.25	Stefanos Sakellaridis - Lukas Pokorny	2:1 ✺
20.07.25	Ji Sung Nam - Lukas Pokorny	1:2 ✺
13.07.25	Alessandro Pecci - Lukas Pokorny	2:1 ✺
07.07.25	Maxim Mrva - Lukas Pokorny	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 WLWLL
- Mwendwa Mbithi
ITF Tournaments
06.08.25	Mwendwa Mbithi - Alaa Trifi	2:0 ✺
01.08.25	Mwendwa Mbithi - Igor Kudriashov	0:2 ✺
31.07.25	Mwendwa Mbithi - Matteo Lavizzari	2:0 ✺
30.07.25	Mwendwa Mbithi - Nicolas Robert	2:1 ✺
27.07.25	Ryo Tabata - Mwendwa Mbithi	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WLWWW

Lukas Pokorny - Mwendwa Mbithi: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide