Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Trieste - Qualification, clay - Final

Date: 7 July 2025, Monday


	Maxim Mrva		Lukas Pokorny

	1	2
			Watch
	1.48	2.4	Watch
	1.41	2.7	Watch
	1.42	2.83
			Watch
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.41	2.77
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.46 ↓ (1.74)	2.59 ↑ (1.99)

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maxim Mrva
64%

Lukas Pokorny
36%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.4%

46.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.8%

46.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maxim Mrva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Maxim Mrva's performance.

Lukas Pokorny has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lukas Pokorny might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maxim Mrva than the current prediction. (-10.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Maxim Mrva that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lukas Pokorny than the current prediction. (+10.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lukas Pokorny could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90.9%	0%	9.1%

Maxim Mrva - Lukas Pokorny Predictions

Users Predictions: Maxim Mrva will win (10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.92% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Maxim Mrva will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

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Preview

Mrva is ranked ATP: 501. Pokorny is ranked ATP: 393.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Mrva may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Mrva won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maxim Mrva
ATP Challenger
06.07.25	Moez Echargui - Maxim Mrva	1:2 ✺
01.07.25	Maxim Mrva - Oriol Roca Batalla	0:2 ✺
18.06.25	Maxim Mrva - Martin Krumich	1:2 ✺
17.06.25	Maxim Mrva - Rudolf Molleker	2:0 ✺
16.06.25	David Jorda Sanchis - Maxim Mrva	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WLLWW
- Lukas Pokorny
ATP Challenger
06.07.25	Andrea Guerrieri - Lukas Pokorny	1:2 ✺
29.06.25	Daniel Bagnolini - Lukas Pokorny	2:1 ✺
11.06.25	Lukas Pokorny - Toby Alex Kodat	1:2 ✺
03.06.25	Maxim Mrva - Lukas Pokorny	2:0 ✺
02.06.25	Stefano Travaglia - Lukas Pokorny	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
03.06.25	Maxim Mrva - Lukas Pokorny	2:0

Maxim Mrva - Lukas Pokorny: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide