Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Tbilisi - Qualification, hard - Final

Date: 19 May 2025, Monday


	Lukas Pokorny		Tibo Colson

	1	2
			Watch
	1.59	2.18
	1.6	2.2	Watch
	1.63	2.25
	1.61	2.23	Watch
	1.62	2.2	Watch
	1.63	2.19	Watch
	1.6	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↓ (1.84)	2.21 ↑ (1.86)

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lukas Pokorny
57.8%

Tibo Colson
42.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.4%

49.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.6%

47.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lukas Pokorny has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lukas Pokorny's performance.

Tibo Colson has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Tibo Colson might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lukas Pokorny than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lukas Pokorny that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tibo Colson than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tibo Colson could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	0%	60%

Lukas Pokorny - Tibo Colson Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Pokorny will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Colson will win (votes: 3 - 60%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Pokorny is ranked ATP: 418. Colson is ranked ATP: 486.

Pokorny is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Colson has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Last Results with these Odds

Lukas Pokorny - the odds 1.84 are the expected chance of winning is 50.36%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Tibo Colson - the odds 1.86 are the expected chance of winning is 49.64%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lukas Pokorny
ATP Challenger
18.05.25	Lukas Pokorny - Naoya Honda	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
14.05.25	Robert Strombachs - Lukas Pokorny	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
23.04.25	Lukas Pokorny - Lukas Neumayer	0:2 ✺
22.04.25	Nick Hardt - Lukas Pokorny	0:2 ✺
21.04.25	Lukas Pokorny - Giovanni Fonio	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 WWLWW
- Tibo Colson
ATP Challenger
18.05.25	Harry Wendelken - Tibo Colson	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
14.05.25	Tibo Colson - Erik Arutiunian	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
21.04.25	Michael Geerts - Tibo Colson	2:1 ✺
19.04.25	Richard Berankis - Tibo Colson	2:1 ✺
18.04.25	Tibo Colson - Robin Bertrand	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WLLLW

Lukas Pokorny - Tibo Colson: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide