Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Rome - Qualification, clay - Final

Date: 21 April 2025, Monday


	Lukas Pokorny		Giovanni Fonio

	1	2
			Watch
	2.8	1.36	Watch
	2.65	1.4	Watch
	3.18	1.34
	3.26	1.31	Watch
	3	1.36	Watch
	3.1	1.34	Watch
	2.65	1.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.95 ↑ (2.35)	1.36 ↓ (1.53)

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lukas Pokorny
31.5%

Giovanni Fonio
68.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.4%

60.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.1%

62.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lukas Pokorny has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lukas Pokorny's form might have worsened.

Giovanni Fonio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Giovanni Fonio's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lukas Pokorny than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lukas Pokorny, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Giovanni Fonio than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Giovanni Fonio, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Lukas Pokorny - Giovanni Fonio Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Pokorny will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Fonio will win (votes: 3 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Pokorny is ranked ATP: 397. Fonio is ranked ATP: 376.

Recent matches Pokorny is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Fonio is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Pokorny could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Fonio is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Fonio to win the game is with odds 1.31.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lukas Pokorny
ATP Challenger
20.04.25	Jacopo Berrettini - Lukas Pokorny	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
10.04.25	James Story - Lukas Pokorny	2:0 ✺
09.04.25	Hugo Pierre - Lukas Pokorny	1:2 ✺
05.04.25	Moez Echargui - Lukas Pokorny	2:1 ✺
04.04.25	Francisco Rocha - Lukas Pokorny	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WLWLW
- Giovanni Fonio
ATP Challenger
20.04.25	Marko Topo - Giovanni Fonio	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
19.04.25	Giovanni Fonio - Arthur Gea	0:2 ✺
19.04.25	Gauthier Onclin - Giovanni Fonio	0:2 ✺
18.04.25	Manas Manoj Dhamne - Giovanni Fonio	0:2 ✺
14.04.25	Julian Messina - Giovanni Fonio	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WLWWW

Lukas Pokorny - Giovanni Fonio: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide