The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Luke Johnson 34.5%
Arthur Fery 65.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
48.8%
51.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
49.3%
50.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Luke Johnson has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Luke Johnson's form might have worsened.
Arthur Fery has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Arthur Fery's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luke Johnson than the current prediction. (+14.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Luke Johnson, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arthur Fery than the current prediction. (-14.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Arthur Fery, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
85.4%
0%
14.6%
Luke Johnson - Arthur Fery Predictions
Users Predictions:
Luke Johnson will win
(41 of 48 users predict this - 85.42%). Confidence interval (95%): 75.44% – 95.4%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2
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Preview
Both players have a series of defeats in the last matches.
Fery could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Johnson will have a small advantage in this match.
Last 3 head-to-head matches Fery won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-4.
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