Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Guangzhou (China) - Qualification, hard

Date: 28 April 2024, Sunday


	Luke Saville		James McCabe

	1	2
			Watch
	2.65	1.4
	2.8	1.38
	2.9	1.39
	2.9	1.4
	2.62	1.44
	2.73	1.43	Watch
	2.6	1.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.74 ↑ (2.15)	1.41 ↓ (1.64)

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Luke Saville
33.9%

James McCabe
66.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.2%

56.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43%

57%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luke Saville has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Luke Saville's form might have worsened.

James McCabe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting James McCabe's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luke Saville than the current prediction. (+9.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Luke Saville, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for James McCabe than the current prediction. (-9.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for James McCabe, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Saville could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

McCabe will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Saville won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Luke Saville
ATP Challenger
23.04.24	Luke Saville - Antoine Escoffier	0:2 ✺
21.04.24	Luke Saville - Linang Xiao	Canceled ✺
16.04.24	Lloyd Harris - Luke Saville	2:0 ✺
15.04.24	Luke Saville - Yanki Erel	2:1 ✺
13.04.24	Luke Saville - Stefanos Sakellaridis	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 L?LWW
- James McCabe
ATP Challenger
24.04.24	Alibek Kachmazov - James McCabe	2:0 ✺
24.04.24	James McCabe - Tung-Lin Wu	2:1 ✺
23.04.24	Egor Gerasimov - James McCabe	0:2 ✺
22.04.24	Federico Bondioli - James McCabe	0:2 ✺
17.04.24	Richard Berankis - James McCabe	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
15.03.24	James McCabe - Luke Saville	1:2
ATP Challenger
07.02.24	James McCabe - Luke Saville	2:0
30.08.23	Luke Saville - James McCabe	1:2

Luke Saville - James McCabe: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide