Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Madrid, clay - 1/64-finals

Date: 22 April 2025, Tuesday


	Lulu Sun		Varvara Gracheva

	1	2
	2.63	1.5	Watch
	2.7	1.45
	2.7	1.47	Watch
	2.63	1.53
	2.58	1.49	Watch
	2.75	1.44
	2.71	1.47	Watch
	2.7	1.47
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.68 ↑ (1.89)	1.48 ↓ (1.89)

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lulu Sun
35.6%

Varvara Gracheva
64.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.1%

49.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.5%

47.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lulu Sun has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lulu Sun's form might have worsened.

Varvara Gracheva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Varvara Gracheva's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lulu Sun than the current prediction. (+16.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lulu Sun, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Varvara Gracheva than the current prediction. (-16.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Varvara Gracheva, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	0%	80%

Lulu Sun - Varvara Gracheva Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Sun (votes: 1 - 50%). Gracheva (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +4 Games - Sun (1.80) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Varvara Gracheva will win (12 of 15 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.76% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Sun (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Gracheva (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Sun is ranked WTA: 45. Gracheva is ranked WTA: 67.

Sun is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Gracheva is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Gracheva could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Gracheva will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Sun won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lulu Sun
WTA Billie Jean King Cup Group I
11.04.25	Mananchaya Sawangkaew - Lulu Sun	1:2 ✺
10.04.25	Lulu Sun - Joanna Garland	2:1 ✺
09.04.25	Dayeon Back - Lulu Sun	0:2 ✺
08.04.25	Sahaja Yamalapalli - Lulu Sun	0:2 ✺
WTA Miami
19.03.25	Mayar Sherif - Lulu Sun	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WWWWL
- Varvara Gracheva
WTA Rouen
17.04.25	Jessica Bouzas Maneiro - Varvara Gracheva	2:0 ✺
15.04.25	Varvara Gracheva - Sonay Kartal	2:0 ✺
WTA Billie Jean King Cup Group I
09.04.25	Varvara Gracheva - Zeynep Sonmez	0:2 ✺
08.04.25	Varvara Gracheva - Lisa Zaar	2:0 ✺
WTA Charleston
02.04.25	Varvara Gracheva - Elise Mertens	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

WTA Auckland
03.01.24	Lulu Sun - Varvara Gracheva	0:2

Lulu Sun - Varvara Gracheva: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide