Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Charleston, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 2 April 2025, Wednesday


	Varvara Gracheva		Elise Mertens

	1	2
	2.75	1.44	Watch
	3.2	1.34
	2.7	1.45	Watch
	2.64	1.47	Watch
	3.3	1.33
	2.58	1.51	Watch
	2.65	1.47
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.83 ↓ (3.12)	1.43 ↑ (1.37)

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Varvara Gracheva
33.6%

Elise Mertens
66.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.5%

69.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29%

71%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Varvara Gracheva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Elise Mertens has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Varvara Gracheva than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elise Mertens than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Varvara Gracheva - Elise Mertens Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Gracheva will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Mertens will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Gracheva is ranked WTA: 66. Mertens is ranked WTA: 28.

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Gracheva could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Mertens is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Gracheva won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1:4 (average 0.5:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Varvara Gracheva
WTA Charleston
31.03.25	Harriet Dart - Varvara Gracheva	1:2 ✺
WTA Miami
18.03.25	Varvara Gracheva - Alycia Parks	1:2 ✺
WTA Indian Wells
07.03.25	Varvara Gracheva - Mirra Andreeva	0:2 ✺
05.03.25	Petra Kvitova - Varvara Gracheva	1:2 ✺
WTA Austin
27.02.25	Caroline Dolehide - Varvara Gracheva	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WLLWL
- Elise Mertens
WTA Miami
23.03.25	Elise Mertens - Iga Swiatek	0:2 ✺
21.03.25	Elise Mertens - Peyton Stearns	2:0 ✺
WTA Indian Wells
10.03.25	Elise Mertens - Madison Keys	1:2 ✺
08.03.25	Elise Mertens - Kimberly Birrell	2:0 ✺
WTA Dubai
18.02.25	Elise Mertens - Paula Badosa	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

WTA Charleston
04.04.24	Varvara Gracheva - Elise Mertens	1:2
WTA Roland Garros
27.05.22	Varvara Gracheva - Elise Mertens	0:2

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