Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W15 Monastir 14, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 22 May 2026, Friday


	Lya Fernandez		Karla Popovic

	1	2
	3.3	1.34
	3.15	1.3	Watch
	3.09	1.32	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.18 ↑ (2.44)	1.32 ↓ (1.47)

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lya Fernandez
29.3%

Karla Popovic
70.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.5%

62.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.7%

57.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lya Fernandez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lya Fernandez's form might have worsened.

Karla Popovic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Karla Popovic's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lya Fernandez than the current prediction. (+13.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lya Fernandez, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Karla Popovic than the current prediction. (-13.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Karla Popovic, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Lya Fernandez - Karla Popovic Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Fernandez is ranked WTA: 1004. Popovic is ranked WTA: 779.

Fernandez is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Popovic is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Fernandez may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Popovic is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

We predict that Popovic will win today's game, with odds of 1.45.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lya Fernandez
ITF Tournaments
21.05.26	Andre Lukosiute - Lya Fernandez	0:2 ✺
20.05.26	Lya Fernandez - Manon Favier	2:0 ✺
13.05.26	Lya Fernandez - Laia Petretic	Fernandez L. Retired ✺
09.05.26	Lya Fernandez - Yasmine Mansouri	0:2 ✺
08.05.26	Iveta Dapkute - Lya Fernandez	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 WW?LW
- Karla Popovic
ITF Tournaments
21.05.26	Alice Soulie - Karla Popovic	1:2 ✺
19.05.26	Anastasia Sysoeva - Karla Popovic	0:2 ✺
08.05.26	Iva Marinkovic - Karla Popovic	0:2 ✺
07.05.26	Mavie Osterreicher - Karla Popovic	0:2 ✺
06.05.26	Vera Levin - Karla Popovic	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WWWWW

Lya Fernandez - Karla Popovic: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide