Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Wuning 4, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 2 July 2026, Thursday


	M Rifqi Fitriadi		Chase Ferguson

	1	2
	2.00	1.70
	1.92	1.78
	2.03	1.8
	1.98	1.72	Watch
	2.01	1.78
	1.98	1.72	Watch
	1.58	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.93 ↑ (1.58)	1.81 ↓ (2.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.00

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

M Rifqi Fitriadi
48.5%

Chase Ferguson
51.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.2%

41.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.7%

38.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

M Rifqi Fitriadi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that M Rifqi Fitriadi's form might have worsened.

Chase Ferguson has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Chase Ferguson's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for M Rifqi Fitriadi than the current prediction. (+13.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for M Rifqi Fitriadi, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chase Ferguson than the current prediction. (-13.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Chase Ferguson, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

M Rifqi Fitriadi - Chase Ferguson Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Fitriadi is ranked ATP: 718. Ferguson is ranked ATP: 675.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Ferguson may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Fitriadi won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).

Last Results with these Odds

M Rifqi Fitriadi - the odds 1.58 are the expected chance of winning is 58.2%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- M Rifqi Fitriadi
ITF Tournaments
02.07.26	M Rifqi Fitriadi - Arvid Nordquist	Nordquist A. Retired ✺
01.07.26	M Rifqi Fitriadi - Minghui Zhang	2:0 ✺
23.06.26	Geun Jun Kim - M Rifqi Fitriadi	2:0 ✺
11.05.26	Isaac Becroft - M Rifqi Fitriadi	2:0 ✺
04.05.26	M Rifqi Fitriadi - S D Prajwal Dev	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2 ?WLLL
- Chase Ferguson
ITF Tournaments
02.07.26	Yuta Tomida - Chase Ferguson	0:2 ✺
01.07.26	Noritaka Koizumi - Chase Ferguson	0:2 ✺
25.06.26	Chase Ferguson - Fanming Meng	0:2 ✺
23.06.26	Chase Ferguson - Taiyo Yamanaka	2:1 ✺
16.06.26	Chase Ferguson - Taiyo Yamanaka	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
05.03.26	M Rifqi Fitriadi - Chase Ferguson	2:0
27.11.25	Chase Ferguson - M Rifqi Fitriadi	2:0

M Rifqi Fitriadi - Chase Ferguson: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide