Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Nottingham, grass - 1/8-finals

Date: 16 June 2026, Tuesday


	Mackenzie McDonald		Shintaro Mochizuki

	1	2
	1.5	2.5	Watch
	1.48	2.45
	1.5	2.43
	1.6	2.49
	1.46	2.57	Watch
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.51	2.39	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↑ (1.42)	2.44 ↓ (2.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.00

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mackenzie McDonald
61.7%

Shintaro Mochizuki
38.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.9%

35.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.2%

35.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mackenzie McDonald has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Shintaro Mochizuki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mackenzie McDonald than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shintaro Mochizuki than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Mackenzie McDonald - Shintaro Mochizuki Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. McDonald will win (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

McDonald is ranked ATP: 128. Mochizuki is ranked ATP: 138.

Recent performances by McDonald have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Mochizuki has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

McDonald may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

McDonald is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, McDonald won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:3. (average 1.7:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Mackenzie McDonald - the odds 1.42 are the expected chance of winning is 64.85%, but this team recently wins 79% of matches with these odds.

Shintaro Mochizuki - the odds 2.62 are the expected chance of winning is 35.15%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mackenzie McDonald
ATP Challenger
14.06.26	Nicolai Budkov Kjaer - Mackenzie McDonald	1:2 ✺
ATP Hertogenbosch
06.06.26	Mackenzie McDonald - Niels Visker	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
04.06.26	Mackenzie McDonald - Rinky Hijikata	0:2 ✺
02.06.26	Mackenzie McDonald - Nicolai Budkov Kjaer	2:0 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
18.05.26	Juan Carlos Prado Angelo - Mackenzie McDonald	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WLLWL
- Shintaro Mochizuki
ATP Challenger
14.06.26	Shintaro Mochizuki - Michael Zheng	2:1 ✺
ATP Hertogenbosch
06.06.26	Sander Jong - Shintaro Mochizuki	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
03.06.26	Sho Shimabukuro - Shintaro Mochizuki	2:0 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
18.05.26	Remy Bertola - Shintaro Mochizuki	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
11.05.26	Lukas Neumayer - Shintaro Mochizuki	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Athens
02.11.25	Shintaro Mochizuki - Mackenzie McDonald	1:2
ATP Challenger
05.06.24	Mackenzie McDonald - Shintaro Mochizuki	1:2
ATP Seoul
29.09.22	Shintaro Mochizuki - Mackenzie McDonald	0:2

Mackenzie McDonald - Shintaro Mochizuki: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide