Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W50 Funchal, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 12 November 2025, Wednesday


	Madelief Hageman		Haruka Kaji

	1	2
			Watch
	3.33	1.28	Watch
	3.32	1.27	Watch
	3.62	1.25	Watch
	3.5	1.29
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.44 ↓ (3.47)	1.27 ↓ (1.3)

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Madelief Hageman
27%

Haruka Kaji
73%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.3%

72.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26%

74%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Madelief Hageman has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Haruka Kaji has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Madelief Hageman than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Haruka Kaji than the current prediction. (+1%)

Madelief Hageman - Haruka Kaji Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Hageman is ranked WTA: 779. Kaji is ranked WTA: 267.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Hageman may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Kaji is considered a favorite.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Madelief Hageman
ITF Tournaments
21.10.25	Madelief Hageman - Lea Boskovic	0:2 ✺
15.10.25	Anastasiia Firman - Madelief Hageman	2:1 ✺
14.10.25	Charlotte Van Zonneveld - Madelief Hageman	0:2 ✺
03.10.25	Andre Lukosiute - Madelief Hageman	2:0 ✺
02.10.25	Sofia Avataneo - Madelief Hageman	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LLWLW
- Haruka Kaji
ITF Tournaments
06.11.25	Melisa Ercan - Haruka Kaji	2:0 ✺
04.11.25	Lea Nilsson - Haruka Kaji	0:2 ✺
WTA Hong Kong
25.10.25	Haruka Kaji - Kristiana Sidorova	0:2 ✺
25.10.25	Haruka Kaji - Kallista Liu	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
15.10.25	Haruka Kaji - Xinyu Gao	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LWLWL

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