Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W15 Kursumlijska Banja 3, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 7 May 2025, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Kursumlijska Banja 3 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Madelief Hageman		Justina Maria Gonzalez Daniele

	1	2
	1.72	1.98
	1.76	1.98
	1.74	2.02	Watch
	1.73	2
	1.74	1.97	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↓ (1.83)	1.99 ↑ (1.83)

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Madelief Hageman
53.4%

Justina Maria Gonzalez Daniele
46.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.9%

52.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Madelief Hageman has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

Justina Maria Gonzalez Daniele has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Madelief Hageman than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Madelief Hageman that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Justina Maria Gonzalez Daniele than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Justina Maria Gonzalez Daniele could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Hageman is ranked WTA: 872. Gonzalez Daniele is ranked WTA: 794.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Gonzalez Daniele may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Madelief Hageman
ITF Tournaments
01.05.25	Madelief Hageman - Polina Bakhmutkina	1:2 ✺
29.04.25	Warda Ait el Bachir - Madelief Hageman	Ait el Bachir W. retired ✺
09.04.25	Madelief Hageman - Weronika Ewald	0:2 ✺
03.04.25	Madelief Hageman - Rinon Okuwaki	2:0 ✺
02.04.25	Madelief Hageman - Elena Grekul	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 L?LWW
- Justina Maria Gonzalez Daniele
ITF Tournaments
24.04.25	Justina Maria Gonzalez Daniele - Vaishnavi Adkar	0:2 ✺
22.04.25	Denise Hrdinkova - Justina Maria Gonzalez Daniele	Hrdinkova D. retired ✺
10.04.25	Justina Maria Gonzalez Daniele - Vicky Van De Peer	2:0 ✺
09.04.25	Denisa Hindova - Justina Maria Gonzalez Daniele	0:2 ✺
02.04.25	Justina Maria Gonzalez Daniele - Sabrina Olimjanova	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 L?WWW

Madelief Hageman - Justina Maria Gonzalez Daniele

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Preview

Form

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