Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Montreal, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 5 August 2025, Tuesday


	Madison Keys		Clara Tauson

	1	2
	1.73	2.1	Watch
	1.78	2.05
	1.72	2.07	Watch
	1.8	2.12
	1.81	2.03	Watch
	1.67	2.2
	1.79	2.15	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↑ (1.58)	2.1 ↓ (2.3)

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Madison Keys
54.5%

Clara Tauson
45.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.3%

40.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.8%

39.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Madison Keys has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

Clara Tauson has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Madison Keys than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Madison Keys, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Clara Tauson than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Clara Tauson, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16%	0%	84%

Madison Keys - Clara Tauson Predictions

Users Predictions: 23 users predict this event. Keys will win (votes: 4 - 17.4%). Tauson will win (votes: 19 - 82.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Tauson: 67.1% – 98.1%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 Sets - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1.5 Sets - Tauson (1.45) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Clara Tauson will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Tauson (votes: 5 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Keys is ranked WTA: 8. Tauson is ranked WTA: 19.

At the moment, both players are looking strong and ready to play.

Tauson may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Keys won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Madison Keys
WTA Montreal
03.08.25	Madison Keys - Karolina Muchova	2:1 ✺
01.08.25	Madison Keys - Caty McNally	2:1 ✺
30.07.25	Madison Keys - Laura Siegemund	2:0 ✺
WTA Wimbledon
04.07.25	Laura Siegemund - Madison Keys	2:0 ✺
02.07.25	Olga Danilovic - Madison Keys	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WWWLW
- Clara Tauson
WTA Montreal
03.08.25	Clara Tauson - Iga Swiatek	2:0 ✺
01.08.25	Clara Tauson - Yulia Starodubtseva	2:0 ✺
30.07.25	Clara Tauson - Lucia Bronzetti	2:0 ✺
WTA Washington
25.07.25	Anna Kalinskaya - Clara Tauson	2:0 ✺
23.07.25	Caroline Dolehide - Clara Tauson	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.8 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

WTA Auckland
03.01.25	Madison Keys - Clara Tauson	0:2

Madison Keys - Clara Tauson: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide