Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Toulouse-Balma, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 17 March 2026, Tuesday


	Mae Malige		Mika Brunold

	1	2
			Watch
	2.67	1.49
	2.58	1.43	Watch
	2.5	1.44
	2.55	1.45	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.58 ↓ (2.99)	1.45 ↑ (1.37)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mae Malige
36.1%

Mika Brunold
63.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.4%

68.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.8%

69.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mae Malige has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

Mika Brunold has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mae Malige than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mae Malige that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mika Brunold than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mika Brunold could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Mae Malige - Mika Brunold Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Malige is ranked ATP: 498. Brunold is ranked ATP: 368.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Brunold may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Brunold might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Malige won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.5:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mae Malige
ITF Tournaments
13.03.26	Charles Broom - Mae Malige	2:0 ✺
12.03.26	Naoya Honda - Mae Malige	0:2 ✺
10.03.26	Mickael Kaouk - Mae Malige	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
03.03.26	Mae Malige - Jan Choinski	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
01.03.26	Sebastian Sorger - Mae Malige	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LWWLL
- Mika Brunold
ITF Tournaments
07.03.26	Mika Brunold - Dominic Stephan Stricker	0:2 ✺
06.03.26	Mika Petkovic - Mika Brunold	1:2 ✺
05.03.26	Nicola Senn - Mika Brunold	0:2 ✺
04.03.26	Kai Wehnelt - Mika Brunold	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
28.02.26	Zsombor Piros - Mika Brunold	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
13.02.26	Mika Brunold - Mae Malige	2:1
ATP Challenger
05.10.25	Mae Malige - Mika Brunold	0:2

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